A critical review of estimation of disease costs of COVID-19 pandemic in Low and Lower middle-income countries
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Background
COVID-19's emergence created a worldwide disaster,
hitting nations of all income levels and causing catastrophic health and
socioeconomic destruction. Due to differences in healthcare systems,
demography, and containment measures, low and lower-middle-income nations
(LMICs) had distinct problems in coping with the epidemic.
Objectives
This review synthesizes the existing evidence on the
cost of treating COVID-19 in low and middle-income countries, including direct
and indirect expenses and the methods employed in cost assessment.
Methodology
The review includes studies published after 2019,
concentrating on COVID-19 patients in low and lower middle-income countries. Four studies complied to the inclusion criteria, demonstrating various
methodological approaches, perspectives, cost components and regional variation
across the healthcare system.
Results
Four studies from Iran, Kenya, Ghana and Ethiopia
were included. Average direct medical costs per inpatient ranged from $321 to
$3,755, with ICU care consistently 2–4 times more expensive than general ward
care. Key cost drivers included ICU services (up to 41%), staffing (up to 46%),
medications (up to 35%), and PPE (up to 79%). Indirect costs, where reported,
added substantially to the total burden.
Conclusion
COVID-19 imposed a significant economic burden in low- and lower-middle-income countries, with costs escalating sharply in severe and critical cases. ICU care, staffing, medications, and PPE are the primary cost drivers. These findings emphasized the need for cost-efficient strategies—such as early detection, home-based care, and targeted ICU use—to optimize resource allocation and reduce financial strain on health systems.
Highlights
1. The study assesses the economic burden in terms of costs borne by the low and lower middle-income countries for the treatment of COVID-19 illness.
2. The study included a narrative synthesis by segregating the cost parameters (direct and indirect costs) of the existing studies conducted in the low and lower middle-income countries.
3. There are limited number of cost studies of COVID-19 illness whereas it has been talked a lot in the epidemiological aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This assessment can help governments, healthcare professionals and international organizations manage the complicated public health and financial landscape carved out by COVID-19.
Abbreviations
LMICs: Lower and Lower Meddle income Countries
DC: Direct cost
IC: Indirect cost
HTA: Health Technology Assessment
WHO: World Health Organisation
DOAJ: Directory of Open access journals
PROSPERO: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews
PRISMA: preferred reporting items of Systematic Reviews and Meta Analysis
HIS: Hospital information system
ICU: Intensive care unit
A global catastrophe
affecting all nations was triggered by the emergence of the new Coronavirus Disease
2019 (COVID-19). The pandemic unleashed widespread health and socio-economic
devastation on a global scale, rapidly spreading with severe consequences for
patients, healthcare workers, health systems, and economies worldwide [1]. While the burden of the
disease has had a worldwide impact, low
and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) have faced unique challenges [2].
The variation in COVID-19
treatment costs across different low and LMICs is influenced by a range of
factors. The various economic challenges experienced by low and LMICs
during the pandemic are a result of variations in healthcare systems,
population demography, illness severity and the efficacy of containment
measures [3]. This has been
accentuated by the increased demand for resources and its effect on the broader
healthcare infrastructure [4]. The financial
consequences of COVID-19 in these environments go beyond the direct costs of
healthcare to include indirect costs like lost productivity, income and social
effects on affected individuals and communities[5].
It is essential to
comprehend the economic impact of COVID-19 in various environments to ensure
efficient resource allocation, policy development and future pandemic
preparedness [6]. The assessment of the cost of
illness studies plays a crucial role in understanding the economic implications
of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and its impact on various
stakeholders. By examining user costs, provider costs, and different modes of
financing, cost of illness studies provide valuable insights into the economic
burden on households and health systems, as well as the overall efficiency of
healthcare interventions [7]. Additionally, assessment
of the provider costs, including healthcare infrastructure, personnel and
treatment expenses, is vital for understanding the strain on health systems and
the allocation of healthcare resources [8]. With an emphasis on
user and provider costs in low and LMICs, this systematic review attempts to
thoroughly investigate and synthesize the available research on the cost of treating COVID-19
disease. The findings of this review will inform policymakers, healthcare
professionals, and international organizations, facilitating evidence-based
decision-making and resource allocation to effectively address the economic
challenges posed by the pandemic. Furthermore, cost of illness studies has
implications for health technology assessment (HTA) and the evaluation of
intervention efficiency [9].
COVID-19
The fast worldwide
spread of SARS-CoV-2 prompted the World Health Organisation (WHO) to declare
the COVID-19 outbreak, a pandemic in March 2020. The virus spreads largely by
respiratory droplets produced by coughing, sneezing, or talking, as well as
through direct contact with infected surfaces. COVID-19 symptoms include fever,
cough and shortness of breath, which can range from moderate to severe. While
most people have moderate symptoms, particular populations, such as the elderly
and those with comorbidities, are more likely to suffer severe respiratory
distress and other consequential effects. The pandemic spurred massive public
health measures, such as lockdowns, travel restrictions, masking and double
masking, sanitization, and vaccination drives, aimed at preventing the virus's spread.
This
led to a loss of employment, availability of healthcare resources, cost of
hospitalization, deaths, and non-availability of definite treatment options.
The virus and the measures taken have profoundly impacted people’s lives.
Cost of illness
The cost of illness is
considered an important tool for evaluation. This review will examine the
studies that have calculated the cost of COVID-19 disease which will help in
estimating the direct and indirect costs incurred during the pandemic.
Consequently, this review will include cost of illness studies that cover
various elements of treatment costs including direct and indirect costs in the
hands of users as well as providers.
Low and Lower-middle-income countries
The study is aimed at
understanding the cost of treating COVID-19 in low and lower-middle-income
countries. In such settings, COVID-19 hospitalization and home quarantines or
quarantine facilities impose higher financial constraints on households leading
to asset depletion and loss of income. The cost of diagnostic instruments and
various medical technologies poses a financial burden in resource-poor
settings. For the purpose of this study, low and lower-middle-income countries
are classified as per the classification of the World Bank[10]. In this review, low-
and lower-middle-income countries are defined based on the World Bank’s 2023
fiscal year classification, which categorizes economies by gross national
income (GNI) per capita as follows: low-income (≤ $1,135) and
lower-middle-income ($1,136–$4,465) [10]. In summary, cost of
illness studies are necessary to comprehend the economic consequences of
COVID-19 on households, health systems and overall resource allocation [11].
Methodology
To undertake this review,
a study protocol was prepared and registered on the PROSPERO database (CRD42023432680). Various electronic databases such as Medline,
ProQuest and Scopus and Directory of Open access journals (DOAJ) were searched.
We also looked for pertinent literature in the chosen publications' citation
lists. The study search is updated through July 2023. The results of this
review were reported using the most recent Preferred Reporting Items for
Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) criteria [12]. The cost information
from the selected studies have been summarised using 2023 US Dollar value using
the EPPI currency converter [13].
Keywords and Inclusion
criteria
Studies were chosen based on keywords created
from the conceptual framework pertinent to the study subject. These were
utilized for the first level database search and then the studies were further
screened in accordance with the first-level inclusion criteria. Studies chosen
at this level were put through a second-level screening procedure. The studies that were chosen from this list was then
methodically mapped for narrative extraction of data (Annexure Table 1, 2).
Data synthesis and extraction
A pre-tested data extraction table was used to collect key information from each included study, including authorship, study location, year of study and publication, provider type, illness category, methods of cost data collection, analysis, presentation, and reported cost outcomes. Given the variability in costing approaches and outcome indicators, meta-analysis was not appropriate; instead, cost data were reported individually to reflect study-level detail, while costing methods were synthesized to present a consolidated range of reported costs. (Table 1)
Assessment of quality of selected studies
Study search
and selection was conducted by two reviewers and results were matched for
completeness and correctness. Any difference of opinion was settled through
mutual discussion with the Principal Investigator. The quality of the selected
studies was assessed using the checklists for health cost analysis proposed by
the British Medical Journal (BMJ) and Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation
Reporting Standards (CHEERS) 2013 by
the International Society for Pharmacology and Outcomes Research (ISPOR) [18]. Three grades were used
to rate the items (YES, NO and NOT APPLICABLE), the end goal being to check the
“YES” percentage for each question. The quality assessment was undertaken by
two independent reviewers and disagreements were resolved by consensus or after consultation with a
third author. Each study parameter was graded according to the type of risk. An
overall bias assessment, as well as the risk of bias summary for each
individual study, was also presented as part of the results of the review.
Results
A
total of 69 records were identified through database searches—PubMed (n=29),
ProQuest (n=15), DOAJ (n=8), ScienceDirect (n=6)—along with additional
references (n=11). After removing 11 duplicate entries, 53 records were
screened at the title and abstract level. Of these, 42 studies were excluded
for not meeting the inclusion criteria, primarily due to methodological
limitations or the absence of cost analysis. Eleven full-text reports were
sought for retrieval; one could not be accessed. Among the remaining 10
studies, six were excluded because they derived cost estimates from secondary
data sources, which did not satisfy the review’s eligibility criteria. The
distinctiveness of this review lies in its focus on studies that estimated
COVID-19 illness costs using primary data sources. Ultimately, four studies met
the inclusion criteria and were incorporated into the final synthesis. The
search and selection process is detailed in the PRISMA 2020 flow diagram
(Figure 1), following the updated guidelines of the Preferred Reporting Items
for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses 2020 statement [12].
The quality check of each of the four
studies included in this review was done. The detailed graded checklist has
been provided in (Annexure Table 3) presents the results of the quality
assessment of the selected studies. While the quality of the selected studies
seems to be adequately good there were inadequacies in the description of unit
costs and evidence of quality assessment done by the authors of the reported
studies. The research quality of all the
papers is judged sufficient, providing a strong basis for further analysis. Key
sections like describing population characteristics, mentioning study
perspective and disclosing different parts of cost estimation show a consistent
100% adherence. Nevertheless, there are differences inadequacies. Only 75% of
studies report ethics approvals and disclose conflicts of interest.
Furthermore, just half of the research reported having received funding,
indicating a possible lack of funding. The need for more specific documentation
supporting methodological robustness is highlighted because only 25% of the
studies offer quality evidence, despite costs and related details being
reported up front. Overall, the evaluation reveals areas of strength and points
out areas that needs improvement to guarantee financial transparency and
complete assessment of cost of illness.
Setting, location and perspective
The studies
were conducted in low and lower-middle-income settings. The countries in which the selected studies were
undertaken were Ethiopia, Iran, and Kenya [14–17].Among the selected
studies, three were conducted from a health care payer perspective, which were
also referred to as health systems perspective when expanded to beyond direct
cost of care [14,15,17]. Only one study was conducted from a societal perspective [16].
In their Ethiopian study, Solomon T. M. et
al. (2022) focused on the viewpoint of healthcare providers, primarily analysing
costs from the provider perspective [14]. This perspective delved
into direct medical costs, such as treatments, procedures and the utilization
of resources within the healthcare system, thus revealing insights into the
financial pressures borne by healthcare institutions. In Ghana, Hamza Ismaila et
al. (2021) adopted a health systems perspective, offering a broader
panorama of costs and repercussions encompassing the entire healthcare system [15]. This perspective
extended beyond direct medical costs to encompass administrative and
infrastructure expenses, as well as the coordination and delivery of healthcare
services. In Iran, Mohsen G. D. et al. (2021) opted for a societal
perspective, encompassing not only healthcare-associated costs but also wider
economic and societal impacts [16]. This entailed
accounting for indirect costs like productivity loss, absenteeism, and
intangible expenses, thus providing a holistic comprehension of the overall
societal burden. Meanwhile, Edwine B. et al., (2021), conducting their study in
Kenya, employed a health system perspective [17]. This approach
emphasized costs and ramifications within the healthcare system, comprising
resource allocation, infrastructure and management considerations. (Table 1)
Source
of data and methods
Solomon
Tessema Memirie et al. (2022) conducted a retrospective analysis of the
cost of illness [14]. Hamza
Ismaila et al. (2021) examined the cost of illness associated with the
clinical management of COVID-19 based on the suggested protocol of treatment in
Ghana [15]. The third
study, authored by Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al. (2021), employed an
incidence-based approach [16]. Lastly,
Edwine Barasa et al. (2021) conducted an economic evaluation using an
incidence-based cost-of-illness approach [17].
The study
by Hamza Ismaila et al. (2021) did not include any patients. Data were
collected using a resource template, which was directed by frontline doctors,
to describe resources used to treat patients with diverse illness severity and
locations. Cost of sample collection tools, test kits for SARS-COV-2, complete
blood count, blood gases, chemistries, imaging, medications, supplies and
consumables were included in the study. Supplies and consumables included
oxygen, mechanical ventilation and associated supplies such as syringes and
masks provided as part of in-patient treatment. The study assessed treatment
expenses per patient based on illness severity levels using quantifiable
resources for each patient group and related unit costs. Cost comparisons were
made across resource consumption categories within the same severity level as
well as between severity levels and treatment settings (home-based or
institutionalized care). Particularly, neither the estimated costs nor the
actual costs were reduced or changed [15].
The study
by Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al. (2021), was conducted as a partial
economic assessment and a cross-sectional cost-description study and it
targeted patients with COVID-19 who sought care at a primary referral medical
centre in Fars province, Iran, up to July 2020. Data was collected using forms
that included patient demographics, attributes and cost information. The study
took a societal approach, incorporating both direct and indirect medical
expenses. Counselling, nursing services, drugs, medical consumables,
rehabilitation, dialysis, imaging, electrography, laboratory testing and other
associated goods were all factored into direct medical cost estimations [16].
The
expenses of housing, overheads, staffing, medicines, non-pharmaceuticals,
personal protective equipment (PPE), oxygen, laboratory and radiology tests and
capital expenditures were also assessed. The information came from a variety of
sources, including healthcare institution expenses, government guidelines and
market pricing. A cost study of healthcare institutions was used to determine
accommodation and administrative charges. Staffing was determined using data
from COVID-19 treatment centres and Ministry of Health recommendations.
Pharmaceutical costs have been estimated using market pricing, while oxygen
expenses were determined using the cost of producing oxygen plants. Clinical
guidelines and billing information were used to calculate laboratory and
radiology expenses, while capital expenditures were annuitised using a discount
rate. Sensitivity analysis was performed by altering staff time and PPE
expenses, employing both actual and recommended staff ratios and cutting PPE
expenditures by 30% [16]. (Table 2)
Calculation
of direct and Indirect Costs
Direct
Cost
The study
by Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al. (2021) employed electronic medical data
retrieved from the hospital information system (HIS) to determine direct
medical expenditures associated with COVID-19 patients. The data was divided
into nine categories, which included services such as intensive and routine bed
care, physician visits, counselling, nursing services, medicine,
rehabilitation, dialysis, imaging, electrography, laboratory testing, and other
services. By adding expenditures from each category, the average total direct
medical costs for each COVID-19 patient were calculated. The study also looked
at the cost differences between inpatient care for severe illnesses requiring
intensive care unit (ICU) treatment and milder cases, offering distinct direct
medical cost data. All service costs utilised in the calculations were based on
official pricing approved by national health authorities [16].
In the
study, by Solomon Tessema Memirie et al. (2022), direct cost has
been calculated. Total direct costs comprised of different spending components
such as people, pharmaceuticals and supplies, laboratory and diagnostic
services, food and utilities and capital assets such as building, medical
equipment and vehicles. The study evaluated the entire building area in the
facility and multiplied the result by the estimated local market rental rate,
which was determined by averaging the rental prices of other nearby buildings,
to estimate the cost of the buildings. The cars' respective rental costs were
used to estimate their costs. The study used the initial capital outlay across
the asset's lifetime to establish the comparable annual cost of the equipment, adjusted
for the duration. The Ekka Kotobe finance department and the World Health
Organization's (WHO) COVID-19 vital supplies forecasting tool were the sources
of the equipment costs. Due to a lack of local data, information on the usable
life of assets, such as medical equipment, was gathered from other sources.
Following that, for each severity level, the cost per treated patient and the
cost per bed day were calculated. Furthermore, the study computed both the
average and monthly bed occupancy rate (March to November, 2020). This rate,
given as a percentage (BOR = total number of inpatient bed-days times
100/available bed-days over the period), was used to assess the healthcare
centre’s resource utilization [14]. Edwine
Barasa et al. analysed costs for a complete economic evaluation,
which included both monetary input values and financial outlays [17]. The
direct cost was computed by the study using real data from COVID-19 treatment
facilities. This cost included all direct and indirect inputs linked to the
provision of case management, including facility-related costs, staff time,
interventions at the patient level, fees for radiography and laboratory work
and the cost of personal protective equipment for the assessment of resource
consumption [17].
Programs
for home-based care were combined with information gathered from COVID-19
recommendations. Taking into consideration different patient categories and
care methods, the study calculated unit costs for per-patient treatment
completion and per-patient case management per day. Asymptomatic patients
receiving home-based or institutional care, symptomatic patients with
mild-to-moderate COVID-19 symptoms getting either home-based or institutional
care, and patients with severe or critical COVID-19 symptoms admitted to
hospitals or ICUs were included in these groups [17]. (Annexure
Table 4)
Indirect
costs
The Mohsen
Ghaffari Darab et al. (2021) study used income-based human capital
method to evaluate indirect costs. Indirect costs were calculated using two
dimensions: earnings lost owing to absenteeism while hospitalisation or home
rehabilitation and productivity loss due to early mortality between the ages of
15 and 65. Individuals under the age of 15 and above the age of 65 who were
economically inactive were omitted from the analysis. The Forgone Labour Output
(FLO) equation was used to calculate possible economic output losses owing to
early deaths, considering parameters such as expected future income, working
years, present income, societal discount rate and income growth rate [16]. (Annexure
Table 4)
Calculation of wages lost
and Productivity loss
Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al. (2021)
employed the Ministry of Cooperative Labour and Social Welfare's 2020 average
income per capita, amounting to 288,000,000 Rials, for determining the minimum
annual wage due to the absence of accurate wage data. The real income per
capita (g) growth rate was set at 3% annually. Additionally, a 6% discount rate
was used. Lastly, the estimated economic loss resulting from each premature
COVID-19 mortality is 2,677,698,726 Rials or $196,838) [19].The average indirect costs per
inpatient were calculated using only 4% of this amount (129,870,974 Rials or
$11,634), which is based on the death rate among hospitalised cases derived
from the study [19]. The economic burden of the study by Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al.
(2021) was assessed by combining total expenses (direct medical and indirect)
with the projected number of infected inpatient patients [16]. Individual
study results have been summarised and reported in Annexure 2 and 3. A summary
of the results is presented in this section.
Summary
of costs
This study
abstained from undertaking a meta-analysis, as such an approach would have
proven ineffective given the fluctuation in expenditures across diverse study
contexts. A summary measure would not be useful in practice. However, to
facilitate comparison and implementation in comparable circumstances, the costs
given in the chosen research have been condensed and presented. Using the EPPI
cost converter, the base costs stated in the research were converted to US
dollars for 2023 [13]. Table 2
present the cost of treating COVID-19 illness. Direct non-medical and indirect
costs have been categorised as user costs, while direct medical costs have been
presumed to be provider costs in as all the studies were conducted in
Government settings. The direct and indirect costs for both providers and users
for each category among the four studies that were selected are shown in
Figures 2. An overview of the cost estimations is shown
in Figure 3, which shows the total cost per patient as well as the direct
costs. Despite the considerable variation in costs across different settings,
which makes comparisons challenging, it is possible to observe the distribution
of expenses among categories within a country's context.
Across the
four included studies, the dominant cost drivers in the management of COVID-19
were consistently intensive care unit (ICU) services, healthcare workforce
(staffing), medications and medical consumables, and personal protective
equipment (PPE). These components were responsible for the majority of direct
medical costs, especially in hospitalized and severe cases. In Iran, the
average cost per inpatient was $3,755, with ICU and general bed services alone
consuming 41% of total costs, and medications contributing an additional 28%.
The Kenya study highlighted extreme cost escalation for critical cases, with
daily ICU costs reaching $599.51, driven by staffing (46%) and PPE (32%), while
even asymptomatic home-based care had PPE as its largest component (up to 79%).
In Ghana, with an average inpatient cost of $620, the most resource-intensive
elements were oxygen therapy, diagnostics, and staff time, reflecting similar
pressure points in facility-based care. The Ethiopia study reported the lowest
average cost ($321), but even there, medications, laboratory investigations,
and hospital stay duration were the leading cost elements. (Figure 3)
Discussion
The
distinctiveness of this review lies in its exclusive inclusion of studies that
estimated the cost of COVID-19 illness using primary data sources. Using the
average cost per hospitalized patient and the number of hospitalizations
reported in the respective studies, the total estimated expenditures were as
follows: Ghana – USD 69.2 million, Kenya – USD 7.5 million, Ethiopia – USD 3.7
million and Iran – USD 1.8 million [20]. The
significantly higher burden in Ghana was attributed to its elevated unit cost
per patient (USD 11,925), whereas the burdens in Kenya and Ethiopia were driven
more by larger volumes of hospitalized patients. When contextualized as a share
of national economic output, these expenditures represented 0.096% of GDP in
Ghana, 0.0074% in Kenya, 0.0039% in Ethiopia and 0.00077% in Iran [21]. The key
cost components across settings were ICU services, staff salaries, medications,
and personal protective equipment. This analysis highlights the considerable
fiscal implications of COVID-19 management in low and lower middle-income
countries which underscores the need for strategic planning to allocate
resources efficiently.
The
financial burden brought on by COVID-19's high cost of disease is a significant
and complex issue that has affected healthcare systems and economies all around
the world [22]. The
pandemic's ongoing effects on society include a wide range of direct and
indirect consequences for the economy [23]. This study
captures the broader societal costs, such as lost productivity, lost income,
and the burden on the healthcare infrastructure, in addition to the direct
medical expenditures incurred during the prevention, diagnosis, treatment and
management of COVID-19. Cost of illness studies offer crucial insights into
resource allocation, assist policymakers in developing successful solutions and
offer a greater knowledge of the entire burden of the condition by evaluating
the complex web of financial repercussions [24]. Fayolah
Richard et. al (2022) estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States
resulted in a total direct medical expenditure of $163.4 billion throughout the
length of the pandemic. Patients and the public are now facing a significant
financial burden because of the COVID-19 pandemic. It is essential to put additional
preventative measures in place to minimise direct and indirect medical
expenditures, loss of productivity and GDP losses. One such strategy is
widespread immunization [25]. For instance, Gökler et al. (2023) reported
the direct costs of treating hospitalized COVID-19 patients in a tertiary
hospital in Türkiye, a country classified as upper-middle-income, where the
average cost per case was significantly lower than figures reported in many
high-income settings, but higher than those in the lowest-income countries [26]. This
finding highlights a gradient in cost structures that reflects differences in
healthcare financing models, unit cost of labour, health system capacity, and
service delivery norms.
In HICs,
the cost per COVID-19 hospitalization is markedly higher—driven by elevated labour
costs, advanced technologies, and more intensive care unit (ICU) utilization.
These differences underscore the importance of health system context when
interpreting economic burden. For example, studies from the United States
estimated average hospitalization costs exceeding USD 20,000–40,000 per severe
COVID-19 case, significantly higher than the USD 1,000–12,000 range observed
across LMICs in this review [27].
Personnel costs
has the highest contribution to the direct costs across all studies. While some
of them report high personnel costs of 25%, 46% and 64% Solomon et al.
(2022), Barasa et al.(2021) [14,28] the others report personnel costs ranging from 14%
to 18% of the direct costs. The next biggest contributor to direct costs were
drugs and diagnostics. While Barasa et al.
(2021) reported costs by severity of
diseases reported 88% and 12% of drugs and diagnostic costs for severe and
critical cases [28], most of the other studies reported a drugs and
diagnostics cost share of 6% to 12 %. Comparing
costs across studies will not add value as costs are dependent on individual
study settings. Ghaffari et al. (2021) measured the potential
productivity losses caused by premature death, this highlights the potential
economic losses caused by COVID -19 which caused high mortality worldwide [19]. The variability in direct medical costs across
income settings also suggests differing policy levers. LMICs may benefit from
strategies that emphasize early detection, decentralized and home-based care
models, and better procurement of personal protective equipment (PPE). In
contrast, HICs might focus more on optimizing high-cost services such as ICU
management, given the higher resource intensity and labour costs associated
with their systems [29]. Recognizing these differences allows for more
targeted, context-specific preparedness planning. Importantly, understanding
cross-country cost differentials can help international donors, governments,
and global health agencies better allocate resources, structure universal
health coverage packages, and prepare for future health emergencies in an
equitable and economically efficient manner [30,31].
Collectively,
these studies present a range of methodological strengths and limitations that,
when considered together, deepen our understanding of the multifaceted economic
impact of COVID-19 and highlight the importance of context-specific approaches
in health economic evaluations While their strengths—robust datasets, cost
differentiation, and real-world data—increase the validity and applicability of
their conclusions, their weaknesses—possible bias, constrained timeframes and
omission of some cost components—remind us of the complexity involved in
determining the true financial consequences of the pandemic. These disparities
underscore the need for tiered policy responses: LMICs may benefit from early
intervention, community-based care, and investment in essential services, while
HICs could focus on optimizing high-cost interventions and efficiency in advanced
care settings. Governments and global health agencies can use this cost
stratification to develop preparedness strategies tailored to country income
levels, ensure equitable financing, and improve resilience across health
systems.
Limitations
First, the
number of eligible studies were less in number, reflecting the limited
availability of cost-of-illness analyses from low- and lower-middle-income
countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. This constrained the geographic
diversity and generalizability of findings. Second, heterogeneity in study
design, cost components included (e.g., some reporting only direct medical
costs, others including indirect or societal costs), costing methods, and
perspectives (provider vs. societal) made direct comparisons challenging and
precluded meta-analysis. Third, while some studies reported costs in USD,
others only used local currencies, requiring conversions using historical
exchange rates or purchasing power parity estimates, which may introduce
imprecision. Fourth, most studies focused on hospitalized patients, often in
tertiary care centres, potentially underrepresenting the cost burden in
community or primary care settings and for milder cases managed outside
hospitals. Also, due to emergency conditions during the pandemic, many studies
relied on administrative data or assumptions from guidelines rather than
real-time micro-costing, which may have limited accuracy or completeness.
Conclusion
In
conclusion, the findings of the study highlight the enormous financial burden
that the COVID-19 pandemic has placed on our society. These studies include
thorough evaluations of direct medical costs, resource utilization and broader
economic effects from the perspectives of providers, health systems, and
society. These studies demonstrate the importance that it can help in making
well-informed decisions, allocating resources effectively and developing
specific approaches to handle the ongoing and changing financial issues brought
on by COVID-19. The findings from this study provide valuable guidance for
formulating effective responses and ensuring access to high-quality healthcare
services during the ongoing global crises as governments, healthcare
professionals and stakeholders navigate these challenges.
Authors’
Declaration
Conflict
of Interest: The Authors declare that there is no conflict of
interest.
Ethics
Approval: This study was conducted
after taking necessary ethical approval from the Institutional Ethics Clearance
(IEC) committee of the Indian Institute of Public Health Delhi (IIPH-D).
Consent
to participate: Not
Applicable
Availability
of data and material: This study exclusively relies on secondary data from
published sources, with no primary data collection involved
Funding: The study has been funded by Indian
council of Medical Research, Department of Health Research, Ministry of Health
and Family Welfare, Government of India.
Grant Agreement number: OR/3/11/2021-ECD-II
Role of the Funder/Sponsor: The funder
had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management,
analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of
the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Author’s
Contribution:
Shubhanjali Roy and Shomik Ray contributed to the conceptualization of the study. Shubhanjali Roy developed and finalized the review protocol, conducted the literature search, performed study selection, data extraction, quality assessment, and prepared the initial manuscript draft. Anugraha Radhakrishnan contributed to the literature search, study selection, and data extraction. Alveena Malik and Alka Singh contributed to the quality assessment and revision of the manuscript. Shomik Ray supervised the study, provided critical input throughout the process, and approved the final version of the manuscript. All authors have reviewed and approved the manuscript for publication.
Tables and figures
Table 1: Study summary of each of the selected studies
Table
2: Cost estimates for each of the selected cost of COVID-19 illness studies
[USD $ (2023)]
|
Cost Components (Direct cost/
Indirect Cost) |
Solomon Tessema Memirie et. al. 2022 |
Hamza Ismaila et al. 2021 |
Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et al. 2021
|
Edwine
Barasa et al. 2021 |
|||||
|
|
|
|
|
Asymptomatic
|
Mild
to Moderate |
Severe
|
Critical |
||
|
|
|
|
|
Home
Based Care |
Hospital/Isolation
Centre |
Home
Based Care |
Hospital/
Isolation Centre |
|
|
|
Provider Cost
(Direct) |
|||||||||
|
Personnel |
581.74 |
1709.67
|
631.36
|
32.04
|
141.02
|
32.04
|
141.02
|
195.9
|
3461.69 |
|
Drug Supplies |
168.03 |
135.44
|
1114.77
|
|
|
0.26 |
0.26 |
545.4 |
710.55 |
|
Medical equipment |
136.13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
127.28
|
|
Diagnostics |
27.65 |
288.59
|
464.66
|
17.94
|
17.94
|
17.94 |
47.2 |
154.04
|
262.67
|
|
Inpatients Care |
|
4236.14
|
461.54
|
|
|
|
|
132.47 |
154.83
|
|
Provider overheads & Bed charges |
|
8069.09
|
|
|
225.47
|
|
225.47
|
225.47
|
474.05
|
|
Consumables |
|
|
|
186.22
|
411.71 |
186.22 |
411.71 |
462 |
2446.32
|
|
Total Provider Direct
cost |
913.55 |
12424.00 |
3912.13 |
236.20 |
796.14 |
236.46 |
796.40 |
796.40 |
7495.11 |
|
User Cost (Direct) |
|||||||||
|
Food |
646.61 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Others |
6.38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total User Direct Cost |
652.99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
User cost (Indirect) |
|||||||||
|
Lost income
(hospitalization) |
|
|
393.82 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lost income (Recovery
at Home) |
|
|
1109.56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Potential productivity
Loss (premature death) |
|
|
10616.40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total User Indirect
cost |
|
|
12120.82 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total per patient
Cost |
1566.54 |
|
|
236.20 |
796.14 |
236.46 |
796.40 |
796.40 |
7495.11 |
Figure 2: Direct costs (Provider) and Indirect costs for the selected studies USD $ (2023)
Figure 3: Summary of User, Provider, and Total Direct Costs in Selected Studies (USD, 2023)
Annexure
Table
1: List of key words used for study selection
|
Key
concept |
Controlled
words |
Search
words |
|
COVID-19 |
COVID-19 |
COVID-19
Disease and SARS COV-2, symptomatic, asymptomatic |
|
Cost of
illness |
Cost of
illness or disease cost |
Cost of
illness, cost of COVID-19 Diseases, treatment cost, Quarantine cost,
Hospitalization cost, Medication cost, Testing lab cost, direct cost,
indirect cost, productivity loss
|
|
Low
Middle-Income Countries |
Low Middle-Income
Countries |
Low and
Lower Middle-Income Countries, India |
Table 2: List of inclusion criteria for
the selected studies
|
|
Level
one Inclusion criteria |
Level
two Inclusion criteria |
|
1. |
Population:
Patients tested positive for COVID-19, irrespective of location and type of
treatment. |
Full text
available |
|
2. |
Intervention:
Study evaluating the cost of illness for COVID-19 illness. |
All costs related to the disease must be reported
|
|
3. |
Context: Study must be
based in a low and lower middle-income country. |
|
|
4. |
Study design: The study must be a form of cost analysis
independently or as part of a larger study. |
|
|
5. |
Study year: Studies conducted and published in and after 2019. |
|
|
6. |
Studies published in English language. |
|
Table 3: Quality assessment checklist for the selected cost of COVID-19
illness studies
(Item
questions graded as YES, NO, NOT APPLICABLE [N/A])
|
SI. |
ITEM |
STUDY AUTHOR/COUNTRY |
|||
|
|
|
Solomon Tessema Memirie, et al. (2022)/ Ethiopia |
Hamza Ismaila. et
al. (2021)/ Ghana |
Mohsen Ghaffari Darab. et al. (2021)/ Iran |
Edwine Barasa, Angela Kairu. et al. (2021)/ Kenya |
|
1. |
Research
is adequate |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
2. |
Describe
characteristics of population |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
3. |
Study
perspective (mentioned) |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
4. |
The
study was approved by an institution authorized in ethics in research |
Yes |
NA
|
Yes |
Yes |
|
5. |
Conflicts
of interest (mentioned in the study) |
No |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
6. |
Study
funded |
Yes |
No |
No |
Yes |
|
7. |
The
source(s) of cost estimates used are stated |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
8. |
The
costs were clearly described |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
9. |
The
valuation method is stated |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
10. |
Type
of cost is stated |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
11. |
Currency,
price date, and conversion |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
12. |
Unit
costs are described in |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
13. |
The
measurement of costs is adequate |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
14. |
Evidence
of quality |
No |
Yes |
No |
No |
|
15. |
Outcome
measures in health were clearly described, relevant to the study question |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
|
16. |
Conclusions
follow from the data reported |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Yes |
Individual study results
4.1.
Solomon Tessema Memirie et al. (2020)
Cost results
A total of 2,543 COVID-19
cases, ranging in severity, were treated at Ekka Kotebe. Out of these instances,
235 were classified as critical, 515 as severe and 1,841 as intermediate. The
duration of patient stays in the facility averaged 9.2 days for less severe
cases and extended to 19.2 days for more serious cases.
The costs have been
reported in USD as per the year 2020. The average cost per treated episode was
USD 1,473. The costs varied according to the classification of the disease
severity. The average cost per episode for mild cases was USD 1,266. The
average cost increased to USD 1,545 for each episode for severe cases. The
average cost for serious cases was the highest, with USD 2,637 per episode. The
costs of treating patients with various levels of COVID-19 severity at the Ekka
Kotebe Centre were revealed by these data, which can be very helpful for
allocating resources and making healthcare management decisions.
Food for the patient comprised of 41% of the total cost of
treatment followed by personnel (37%). Drugs, supplies, laboratory, and
diagnosis contributed to only 12% of the total treatment costs. The study
analyses costs associated with food, people, pharmaceuticals and supplies,
capital investments, laboratory and diagnostic services, and other
miscellaneous expenditures. Notably, the average cost per treatment episode
varies by component, ranging from $608 for meals. the personnel cost is $547,
which includes all expenditures connected to human resources involved in
healthcare operations. Furthermore, the cost of pharmaceuticals and supplies is
$158, which covers expenses related to prescriptions and medical requirements.
Capital costs are stated as $128, which includes investments in critical
infrastructure and equipment.
Furthermore, laboratory and diagnostic services, which include
medical testing and analysis, cost $26. Finally, "Other"
miscellaneous expenses total $6, potentially signifying supplemental costs that
contribute to the overall healthcare system.
The scope of the investigation goes beyond specific occurrences to
include the full study period, indicating a total cost of $3,725,484.
Furthermore, the study delves into the cost ramifications of individual bed days
($137) and each patient ($1,473). In essence, this thorough analysis provides
useful insights into the varied nature of healthcare spending, shining light on
the economic complexities of patient care within the defined era. (Table 3.1).
Further evaluation of costs across various bed occupancy rates
(BORs) and illness severity levels reveals significant variations in cost per
treatment episode and cost per bed day. The cost per bed day was USD 1,533
(with a range of 885-2,180) at the lowest observed BOR (6%), whereas the cost
per treated episode for critical care was USD 8,926 (with a range of
7,363-10,488). In contrast, the expenditures per bed day and each treatment
episode were much lower for the highest recorded BOR (75%), totalling to USD
158 (with a range of 67-249) and USD 2,141 (with a range of 1,808-2,475),
respectively. (Table 4.1)
4.2.
Hamza Ismaila et al. (2022)
Cost results
In
Ghana, the average cost of treating COVID-19 patients was found to be around
US$11,925. It has been observed that
when a patient transitioned from home management to receiving care at a
specialized treatment centre, there was a significant increase in costs,
approximately 20 times higher.
The
study also showed that administrative charges, which accounted for roughly
63–71% of the overall cost, were a significant factor in the costs associated
with institutionalized care. As only 6% of the total expenses, overhead costs
had a less significant impact on home-based care. Overhead costs accounted for
55% (6-71%) of the cost of clinical management COVID-19 cases in Ghana, with
in-patient care accounting for 19% (17-22%). The third cost driver in all cases
was staff time, which accounted for 18% (4-42%) of the treatment cost, followed
by investigations, which accounted for 11% (1- 47%) of the overall cost.
Interestingly, drugs accounted for just 2% (0.02-5%).
The
analysis found COVID-19 testing staff time for follow-up as a significant
element contributing to the total cost when determining the primary cost
drivers for home-based care. On the other side, personal protective equipment
(PPEs) and transportation costs were identified as the main cost drivers within
the overhead category. The findings highlight the significance of considering
both the treatment setting and overhead costs in healthcare planning and
resource allocation strategies to effectively manage the financial burden
associated with the pandemic. These findings highlight on the key factors
influencing the cost of COVID-19 treatment in Ghana. (Table 4.2).
4.3. Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et
al. (2021)
Cost results
The
disease had a substantial financial burden on the nation for inpatient cases,
totalling to $1,439,083,784. This substantial financial burden was made up of
both direct and indirect medical expenses. The direct medical costs came to
28,240,025,968 Rials, or $1,791,172, with a cost per person of 59,203,409
Rials, or almost $3,755. The study considered both direct and indirect
expenditures. The average indirect cost per person was 129,870,974 Rials
($11,634).
The
study calculated indirect costs by taking two things into account: lost wages
from patient absenteeism while hospitalisation or home rehabilitation, and
productivity loss from early death between the ages of 15 and 65. The Forgone
Labour Output (FLO) equation was used, which took into account variables such
as predicted future income, working years, present income, societal discount
rate and income growth rate, while omitting individuals under 15 and over 65,
as well as those who were economically inactive. The productivity loss and
wages lost as a result of absence brought on by the sickness are covered by
these indirect costs.
According
to the study, the total direct medical costs were 28,240,025,968 Rials
($1,791,172). The majority of these costs (41%) were ascribed to acute and
general care beds, totalling 11,596,217,487 Rials ($735,510). Following that,
pharmaceuticals and medical consumables accounted for 28% of expenditures at
8,044,070,257 Rials ($510,209), physician visits accounted for 12% of prices at
3,422,848,975 Rials ($217,100), and electrography and laboratory tests
accounted for 9% at 2,645,752,049 Rials ($167,811). Nursing and consulting
services accounted for just 2% of overall expenditures.
The
study reported a 6.5% fatality rate among treated patients, with 4% of the
deceased falling within the productive age group, dying 11 years before
reaching the age of 65. COVID-19 patients were hospitalised for an average of 7
days (up to 38 days in severe instances), resulting in an income loss of
5,950,524 Rials ($378) owing to hospitalisation and 16,800,000 Rials ($1065)
due to recovery-related absenteeism. Using a calculation that considered yearly
income growth, discount rate, and average age of death, premature death
resulted in a production loss of 2,677,698,726 Rials ($169,838). Only 4% of
this loss, or 129,870,974 Rials ($11,634), was included into the average
indirect expenses per inpatient owing to death rate. (Table 4.3)
4.4.
Edwine Barasa et al. (2021)
Cost results
The per-day unit costs for
managing asymptomatic patients and those with mild-to-moderate symptoms at
home are respectively 1993.01 KES (US$18.89) and 1995.17 KES (US$18.991). In
comparison, the expenses of treating these patients in a general hospital ward
or isolation centre are 6717.74 KES (US$63.68) and 6719.90 KES (US$63.70),
respectively. Given the low requirement for medical treatments, personal
protective equipment (PPE) is the primary cost driver for asymptomatic and
mild-to-moderate cases. Home-based treatment is much more cost-effective
because of lower hospital-related charges, fewer health professional
encounters, lower staffing and housing costs. The per-day unit expenditures for
case management for patients with severe and critical COVID-19 illness are
13,137.07 KES (US$124.53) and 63,243.11 KES (US$599.51), respectively, with
greater expenses related to medications, specialized staff and intensive care.
The Table 3.4 compares the unit costs for handling
COVID-19 instances in patients with mild-to-moderate symptoms at home to care
in a hospital or isolation centre. In home-based care, health professional
transportation costs 9.48% of the overall cost, personnel costs 21.27%,
medications account for 0.25% and the COVID-19 test costs an extra 17.22%.
Hospital/isolation centre care, on the other hand, comprises housing and
administrative expenditures at 28.31%, staffing at 17.71%, radiography at 1.53%
and a significant part of 51.70% for personal protective equipment (PPE).
Overall, the overall cost per patient in home-based care is 226.96 US dollars,
whereas it is 764.41 US dollars in hospital/isolation centre care.
Accommodation and overheads contribute 216.41 KES
(14.48%) to severe COVID-19 cases, whereas staffing expenses contribute 188.03
KES (12.58%). Pharmaceuticals account for the majority of costs, accounting for
523.49 KES (35.03%), followed by non-pharmaceuticals at 23.58 KES (1.58%),
COVID-19 testing at 17.22 KES (1.15%), other laboratory tests at 102.55 KES
(6.86%), radiology at 28.08 KES (1.88%), personal protective equipment (PPE) at
419.86 KES (28.10%) and oxygen therapy at 127.15 KES (12.82%). In urgent
situations, equipment costs and ICU monitoring are present, but not in severe
instances. Staffing at 3322.65 KES (46.19%), medications at 682.01 KES (9.48%),
PPE at 2305.14 KES (32.04%) and equipment and monitoring in the ICU at 122.17
KES (1.70%) are the key cost drivers for severe patients. The overall cost per patient for severe
conditions is 1494.38 US dollars, while critical cases cost 7194.07 US dollars.
The cost per patient unit for COVID-19 care for asymptomatic patients is
1993.01 Kenyan shillings (KES), or roughly US$18.89 per day. The per-patient
unit expenses for patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 disease receiving
home-based care total 1995.17 KES, or about US$18.99 a day. The cost per
episode for asymptomatic patients receiving home-based care is $226.71, while
those in isolation centres incur a cost of $764.16. Similarly, the cost for
patients with mild to moderate symptoms receiving home-based care is $226.96,
whereas the cost for hospital isolation centre care is $764.41. The per-day unit expenses for asymptomatic
patients and those with mild-to-moderate disease, however, increase to 6717.74
KES (US$63.68) and 6719.90 KES (US$63.70), respectively, when patients getting
care in hospitals or isolation centres are considered. The projected daily unit
cost for patients with severe COVID-1-9 disease admitted to general hospital
wards is 13,137.07 KES, or roughly US$124.53. The daily unit cost for
individuals with severe COVID-19 disease, on the other hand, rises dramatically
to 63,243.11 KES (US$599.51). The cost per episode for individuals with severe
and critical COVID-19 illness is $1494.38 and $7194.07, respectively. (Table 4.4)
Solomon Tessema Memirie et. al.
|
Cost component |
Direct cost – Provider |
Indirect cost – Provider |
|
Food |
|
608 |
|
Personnel |
547 |
|
|
Drugs and supplies |
158 |
|
|
Capital |
128 |
|
|
Laboratory and Diagnostics |
26 |
|
|
Others |
|
6 |
|
Total |
859 |
614 |
|
Total cost per patient |
|
1473 |
Table 4.2: Estimated cost of
COVID-19 treatment by the level of severity and treatment setting (in United
States Dollars, USD)
Hamza Ismaila et
al. / 2021
|
Cost Components |
Direct cost (Provider) |
Average |
||||
|
|
Home based care |
Institutionalized
care |
|
|||
|
Total Direct
Costs |
|
Mild |
Moderate |
Severe |
Critical |
|
|
Inpatients Care |
|
$1259 |
$1269 |
$3546 |
$4587 |
$4066 |
|
Investigations |
$132 |
$147 |
$340 |
$277 |
$489 |
$277 |
|
Medications |
$14 |
$14 |
$89 |
$199 |
$335 |
$130 |
|
Overheads |
$17 |
$4072 |
$6701 |
$13,276 |
$14,660 |
$7745 |
|
Staff Time |
$118 |
$215 |
$1552 |
$3007 |
$3312 |
$1641 |
|
Total Costs |
$282 |
$5707 |
$9952 |
$20,305 |
$23,382 |
$11,925 |
Table 4.3: Indirect and Direct
Medical Costs of studied patients (in USD)
Mohsen Ghaffari Darab et
al. / (2021)
|
Cost Components |
Direct Cost (user) |
||
|
Direct Costs |
Per patient |
Per non severe
patient |
Per ICU Patient |
|
General and Intensive Care Beds |
$1542 |
$1171 |
$6083 |
|
Physician Visit
Costs |
$455 |
$446 |
$563 |
|
Consultant and
surgeon |
$72 |
$60 |
$229 |
|
Nursing services |
$79 |
$64 |
$265 |
|
Drugs and
Supplies |
$1070 |
$786 |
$4541 |
|
Rehabilitation and
Dialysis |
$48 |
$23 |
$342 |
|
Imaging |
$94 |
$87 |
$178 |
|
Electrography and
Laboratory |
$352 |
$300 |
$987 |
|
Other Services |
$43 |
$40 |
$80 |
|
Total Direct Cost |
$3755 |
$2979 |
$13,267 |
|
Indirect Costs |
Indirect Cost (User) |
||
|
Lost income (hospitalization) |
$378 |
|
|
|
Lost income (Recovery at Home) |
$1065 |
|
|
|
Potential productivity Loss (premature death) |
$10,190 |
|
|
|
Total Indirect Cost |
$11,634 |
|
|
Table 4.4: COVID-19 case management unit costs
for asymptomatic patients and patients with mild to moderate symptoms
Edwine Barasa et al. / (2021)
|
Cost Components |
Asymptomatic patients Direct cost (Provider) |
Mild to Moderate Symptoms Direct cost (Provider) |
Severe Direct cost (Provider) |
Critical Direct cost (Provider) |
||
|
|
Home based Care unit costs
per case |
Hospital/isolation centre
care costs per case |
Home based Care unit costs
per case |
Hospital/isolation centre
care costs per case |
|
|
|
Health worker transport cost |
$9.48 |
|
$9.48 |
|
|
|
|
Accommodation and overheads |
|
$216.41 |
|
$216.41 |
$216.41 |
$455.01 |
|
Starting |
$21.27 |
$135.36 |
$21.27 |
$135.36 |
$188.03 |
$3322.65 |
|
Pharmaceuticals (medicines, etc) |
|
|
$0.25 |
$0.25 |
$523.49 |
$682.01 |
|
Non-pharmaceuticals (Fluids, devices, etc) |
|
|
|
|
$23.58 |
$42.92 |
|
COVID-19 test |
$17.22 |
$17.22 |
$17.22 |
$17.22 |
$17.22 |
$17.22 |
|
Other laboratory tests |
|
|
|
|
$102.55 |
$206.82 |
|
Radiology |
|
|
|
$28.08 |
$28.08 |
$28.08 |
|
Personal protective equipment |
$178.74 |
$395.17 |
$178.74 |
$395.17 |
$419.86 |
$2305.14 |
|
Oxygen Therapy |
|
|
|
|
$127.15 |
$148.61 |
|
Equipment
costs (including
ventilator) and monitoring in ICU |
|
|
|
|
|
$122.17 |
|
Total cost per patient |
$226.71 |
$764.16 |
$226.96 |
$764.41 |
$1494.38 |
$7194.07 |
|
Patient cost per day |
$19 |
$63.68 |
$18.91 |
$63.70 |
$124.54 |
$599.51 |
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